1. kklondikke

    kklondikke New Member

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    Can Russia do that?

    Discussion in 'Research' started by kklondikke, Feb 7, 2019.

    I’m interested in a sci fi story set in futuristic Russia where Russia has stepped back into communism and formed a new USSR. If you have any tips for writing this sort of idea or want to tell me how ridiculous and implausible something is, please be my guest.
     
  2. Alan Aspie

    Alan Aspie Senior Member

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    They have already went a long way to that direction.

    Tips?

    - Study todays Russia. Power dynamics. Mass media. The real position of oligarkia. Deep state.
    - Compere it to Imperial Russia.
    - Then compere both to Soviet Union.

    All those 3 have some similarities in the culture and structure of governing. Find them.

    "New communism" will not be similar as old. Find the difference's. Find why's. Find how's.

    Study China. Start with Chinauncensored.

    https://www.youtube.com/user/NTDChinaUncensored

    You get topics you need to study. Then do. Dig deep.

    Study what Dr. Phillip Karber tells about Russian military.

    Study what Yuri Bezmenov told about KGB methods.

    Read Solzenitzyn.

    Read The Master and Margarita by Bulgakov.

    Read Animal Farm by Orwell.
     
  3. Reollun

    Reollun Active Member

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    A popular scenario but problematic for many reasons. The notion that Russia is about to build a new USSR (often propagated in the West) is far from the truth in my opinion. Why?

    Russia has mainly acted to preserve its sphere of influence following the disastrous economic collapse during the '90s and the loss of influence and status as a world power. The 90's have deeply traumatized Russian society due to the chaotic collapse of the USSR which left millions in poverty. No matter how flawed, the socialist system did function for decades and provided people with some stability, while the economic liberalization during the '90s brought down the whole system basically overnight.
    Moreover, Russians link the economic liberalization with criminality, instability, and plundering of state resources to benefit the very few at the expense of everyone else. It's certainly not without a good reason, as a very small group of oligarchs plundered Russia after 1991 and to make it worse, these people kept their money in Western banks with many of them representing themselves as 'liberal' and 'democratic', favoring closer ties with the West.
    It's what discredited the 'liberals' in Russia who are not trusted to this day.

    Russian military doctrine is predominantly a defensive one, not aimed at projecting power far outside of Russia's borders as was the case with SU which spent huge sums on money on the military to maintain the status of a global superpower and officially to spread socialism and rival capitalist powers.

    Modern Russia has renounced this approach, as it lacks both the resources and the will to play the superpower. Instead, Russia has focused mainly on what it perceives as its traditional sphere of influence.
    However, Russia has also moved to build a strategic partnership with China, as well as other developing countries (BRICS) and made some steps towards building an economic and political union 'Eurasian Union'.

    Internally, the state has regained many of its prerogatives (heavily backed by the Russian population), as putting strategic resources under state control. The oligarchs lost most of their political powers but were allowed to keep their wealth if they cooperate with the state.

    Will there be a new USSR? Hardly. On the other hand, Russia might establish some kind of a confederacy (politico-economic and maybe military) union with some states in Central Asia and Belarus.

    PS There is a communist party in Russia today, which ranks as the second or third most popular party after Putin's United Russia. As far as I know, the party is pretty weak and resembles the old Communist party only in name only.

    It will be interesting the power transfer after Putin withdraws at some point. Who will emerge and replace him? Putin might handpick a successor and try to gather enough support for him but there are many different scenarios which could occur.

    Perhaps you could try to write a story about a potentially turbulent era following the end of Putin's Presidential term. The setting could some fictional, post-Putin Russia, a kind of a hybrid of traditional Russian Imperial ideas and some form of socialism, though if I were you, I'd try to steer away from Communist revival scenarios, as I think this is a bit cliche. There are already loads of fiction novels on a similar topic, so you might try a new approach.
     
    Last edited: Feb 11, 2019
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  4. Alan Aspie

    Alan Aspie Senior Member

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    As we have seen in Chechnya before crushing it's will to indipendence, Georgia, Ukraine, Syria, Moldova (Transnistria)...

    As we have seen in Baltic Sea with Russian false nuclear attacks against Denmark and Sweden.

    As we can read in Russian military doctrine.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_doctrine_of_Russia

    https://rusemb.org.uk/press/2029

    As Putin, Lavrov and they friends tell all the time.

    As has been since Suvorov...

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexander_Suvorov

    ... laid the basic principle of Russian military thinking in...

    https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/13540316-the-art-of-victory

    As OECD tells. As Dr Phillip Karber tells.



    As...

    Sorry. You are wrong. Russian doctrine is about as offensive as a doctrine can be. And all Russian military exercises tell the same. Latest...

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zapad_2017_exercise
     

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